Yankees vs Red Sox Odds, Pick and Prediction – Cole vs Winckowski

Jul 7- 8 min read
Yankees vs Red Sox odds
  • Boston is pegged as home underdogs in the Yankees vs Red Sox odds on Thursday, July 7th
  • Pitching matchup features Gerrit Cole vs Josh Winckowski
  • Read below for a full analysis of the Yankees vs Red Sox odds

The New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox renew one of the longest-standing rivalries in all of sports at Fenway Park at 7:10 PM EST. Two of the top teams in the American League East clash in one of the best matchups of the season. New York sports betting apps list Boston as home underdogs in the Yankees vs Red Sox odds on Thursday night.

Let’s take a look at the Yankees vs Red Sox odds at Caesars Sportsbook and make our best bet prediction for this AL East matchup.

Yankees vs Red Sox Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
New York Yankees -170 -1.5 (-105) O 8.5 (-115)
Boston Red Sox +143 +1.5 (-115) U 8.5 (-115)

Odds from Caesers Sportsbook

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Red Sox Home Underdogs in AL East Clash

The Yankees (59-23) are heading to Boston (45-37) and with two teams who are headed in very similar directions. In the last 10 games, the Yankees are 7-3 .250 AVG 2.56 ERA and a run differential of +34, while the Red Sox are 4-6 .269 AVG 4.45 ERA and a run differential of -7.

The Yankees lead the league in most offensive categories like home runs, walks, and barrel %. The Red Sox have been on a bit of a heater after a disappointing first month of the season. The Red Sox lead the league both in average and hits, which is why it’s a little surprising that New York are such heavy favorites in the Yankees vs Red Sox odds.

The Yankees are 25-14 on the road this season, while the Red Sox are 21-18 at home. Yankees are 12-4 in games started by Gerrit Cole while the Red Sox are 3-2 in games started by Josh Winckowski.

Gerrit Cole vs Josh Winckowski

By the Numbers

  • Gerrit Cole R 7-2 2.99 ERA 1.00 WHIP 117 Strikeouts
  • Josh Winckowski R 3-2 3.12 ERA 1.39 WHIP 19 Strikeouts

Gerrit Cole is one of the top arms in all of Major League Baseball. After a slower start to his season, the right hander has been nothing short of dominant. In his career against the Red Sox, Cole is 5-3 with an ERA of 4.00 and 73 strikeouts in 63.0 innings.

Josh Winckowski got a rude awakening in his first sniff of the big leagues at the end of May, but after his return to the rotation, Winckowski has pieced together a couple of nice starts. His ERA in the month of June was 2.12, while his July ERA is 1.50. I don’t think the strikeout upside is comparable to an elite arm like Gerrit Cole, but the swing and miss stuff from the Yankees has come back over the past week so the over on his strikeouts might be a play I like here.

Yankees vs Red Sox Hitting Data

Red Sox vs Cole

  • Xander Bogaerts .231 AVG 26 AB 1 HR 2 RBI
  • Rafael Devers .238 AVG 21 AB 4 HR 10 RBI
  • J.D. Martinez .259 AVG 27 AB 2 HR 4 RBI
  • Alex Verdugo .313 AVG 16 AB 1 HR 1 RBI

Yankees vs Winckowski

  • No Data

Yankees vs Red Sox Pick & Prediction

In the 2021 season, the Red Sox won the season series 11-9, while this season the Yankees have won two of three.

In the past two weeks, the New York Yankees have the 6th highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers at 24.5%, and for that reason, I am going to take Josh Winckowski Over 3.5 Strikeouts at -120 in the Yankees vs Red Sox odds. As well as the strikeouts, I am thinking there are going to be some shenanigans, and as long as Rafael Devers plays I am going to take the over 8.5 in the game at -120. Whenever these two play each other there is nothing but bad blood, and I expect both of these teams to be fired up to play as the Red Sox try and make up some ground in the AL East race.

Picks: Winckowski O 3.5 Ks (-120) 1 unit, Over 8.5 (-120) 1 unit

Use the Caesars Sportsbook promo code ‘OWNERSBOX15’ and get a $1,500 risk-free bet for Yankees vs Red Sox on Thursday night!

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