2022 PGA Championship Longshot & Sleeper Betting Picks
The chalk won out in the first major of the 2022 season. Scottie Scheffler’s Masters triumph didn’t come out of nowhere quite like Phil Mickelson’s PGA Championship win in 2021. Mickelson had odds longer then 200-1 to win last years event at Kiawah Island. Fast forward to 2022, let’s see if we can find the next PGA Championship longshot and if they can cash in this years tournament.
The 2022 PGA Championship takes place at Southern Hills in Tulsa, Oklahoma. The course plays at 7,500 yards with only two par-5’s on the par-70 track. Southern Hills is going to demand precise long iron play and strong play off the tee to earn scoring opportunities. Much like Augusta National, this tournament is going to demand a complete player.
Let’s take a look at some of the longshots and sleepers in the PGA Championship odds.
2022 PGA Championship Longshot Odds
Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook
Tiger Woods sneaks just inside of these longshot odds as New York sports betting markets list the 16-time major champion at +6000. There are a number of other former major champions with long odds, like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day, Adam Scott, Patrick Reed, Sergio Garcia, Webb Simpson and Justin Rose.
Caesars Sportsbook is also offering markets on players to make the cut, miss the cut, finish top-10, the first round leader, amongst a bevvy of other betting markets in their 2022 PGA Championship odds. To check out their full list of odds click the banner below, or use our Caesars Sportsbook promo code.
Cameron Young (+8000 at BetMGM)
I spoke about this in my PGA Championship preview, but there are three stats that I value most at Southern Hills. It’s par-4 scoring because there are twelve of them, strokes gained off the tee because of the course length and proximity to the hole because of the course renovation. Cameron Young is in a really good place for two of the three.
Young is one of the longest hitters on tour, his average driving distance is 315.7 yards. He’s 2nd this season in strokes gained off the tee. That length has been a huge factor in his birdie average (6th) and overall scoring average (9th).
His length also gives him a sizable advantage on the field at the par-4’s. He’s going to have shorter irons into some of the most difficult holes on the golf course. During the 2022 PGA Tour season he ranks 11th in the world in par-4 scoring average. With only two par-5’s, both being over 630 yards, the winner this week will undoubtedly be one of the top players of the tournament at par-4 scoring.
His skillset makes him a player you need to include on your outright winners card and even a heavier play for him to finish inside the top-20 at +250 odds at BetMGM.
“Tiger Woods (+6600) is our biggest liability to win the PGA Championship. If Tiger were to win, it would be the biggest losing result in BetMGM history. Tiger missing the cut would be a good outcome for the sportsbook.”
– Jason Scott, VP of Trading, @BetMGM pic.twitter.com/9341NuUcdD
— GOLF.com (@GOLF_com) May 17, 2022
Justin Rose (+15000 at BetMGM)
Rose has played just once since missing the cut at the Masters, that shouldn’t be a problem for us though at this stage in his career. He isn’t an incredibly long hitter off the tee, but he’s top-50 in driving accuracy this season. What he lacks in driving distance he makes up for in his approach play with his long irons, which is crucial at Southern Hills.
The former 2013 US Open champion is 19th in birdie average this season, thanks in part to his proximity to the hole on approach shots ranking 5th on tour. With his past experience at the course from the 2007 PGA Championship it should help him avoid some of those blemishes on the card.
He’s been able to score at the par-4’s this season and his long iron play should help him on some length par-3’s this week. I’m certainly taking a flyer on him as a player with major championship pedigree but at the very least you can get him at +160 to make the cut at BetMGM.
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