Avalanche vs Lightning Stanley Cup Final Game 4 Odds, Pick, and Prediction

The Tampa Bay Lightning surged back in Game 3 winning in a commanding fashion. In the Avalanche vs Lightning odds for Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Finals, bettors are seeing similar NHL lines to Game 3. Colorado are listed as short favorites at Caesars Sportsbook, while BetMGM prices both teams at -110. Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Finals is set for 8 PM EST at Amalie Arena on Wednesday, June 22, 2022.

In terms of Game 4 NHL Playoff history, the Tampa Bay Lightning are 22-13, while the Colorado Avalanche are 30-23 all-time. At the time of writing, the starting goalie for Colorado in Game 4 is under question after Darcy Kuemper let in five goals on 22 shots.

Let’s take a look at the Avalanche vs Lightning odds for Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final at Caesars Sportsbook and breakdown where the value lies.

Avalanche vs Lightning Odds

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook app

Colorado online sports betting markets have not adjusted the Avalanche vs Lightning Game 4 odds for the big loss in Game 3. However, the Stanley Cup odds have shifted slightly, with the Lightning now listed at +240 to win Lord Stanley.

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Colorado Betting Outlook in Game 4 of Stanley Cup Final

As mentioned above, Avalanche have a .566 winning percentage all-time in NHL Playoff Game 4s. But after their 6-2 loss to the Lightning at Amalie Arena, will they be able to bounce back?

I think that relies on the goaltending, especially with who they decide to go with in between the pipes. Darcy Kuemper did not look great in Game 3 posting a 9.68 GAA and .773 SV% before getting pulled in the second period.

Through 12 playoff games played for the Avs

Darcy Kuemper:
12 games played
8 wins
1 shutout

Pavel Francouz:
12 games played
8 wins
2 shutouts #FindAWay

— Avs Stats  (@avsstats) June 20, 2022

Believe it or not, the Avalanche outplayed Tampa Bay for a better part of the game. A couple of lucky bounces just kept the Bolts rolling in the right direction.

Colorado posted an Expected Goals rate of 6.68, while Tampa only posted 4.33. Clearly, the Lightning were lucky enough to get great goaltending from Andrei Vasilevskiy. The oddsmakers expect a similar performance considering the Avalanche vs Lightning odds for Game 4.

Will Vasilevskiy Be Enough to Hold Off the Avalanche?

The Bolts would love to head back to Colorado with the series all tied up, however, that’s all going to depend on Andrei Vasilevskiy.

To simply put it, the onslaught the Avalanche offer on offense is just too powerful. Not only are they facing a top tier defensive core, but arguably the best goalie in the NHL, and they’ve still managed to score 13 goals in three games.

Andrei Vasilevskiy now ranks 14th All-Time in Playoff wins with 62! He becomes only the 10th goalie in NHL history to win 25+ G with 30+ saves.

He has won 60 out of the 96 playoff games he has started (62.5%) ‼️

He is only 27 years old. Incredible. pic.twitter.com/ECi9LGyujV

— Greg Harvey (@BetweenTheNums) June 21, 2022

BetMGM had Vasilevskiy’s total save number at 32.5 in Game 3 and is currently listed at the same number in the Avalanche vs Lightning Game 4 odds for bettors looking for player props.

One player prop that stands out to me is Ondrej Palat to score a goal at +250. The Czech native has seven goals in nine home games this postseason, which leads the team.

Avalanche vs Lightning Game 4 Pick & Prediction

Ontario sports betting markets are offering odds for this game, which means hockey bettors North of the Border can get in on the action for Game 4.

Andrei Vasilevskiy was really tested in Game 3 and I don’t see that changing in Game 4. The Avalanche are averaging 38 shots per game on the road and have eclipsed 40+ eight times this playoffs. My best bet for this game is Avalanche ML, which is priced at -115 in the Avalanche vs Lightning odds at Caesars Sportsbook.

Considering Nikita Kucherov got hurt in Game 3, there’s a chance he might not play or will paly at less than 100%. Brayden Point might play, but also he has lingering issues. Add Nick Paul and Zach Bogosian to the “less than 100%” list for Tampa, as well.

I think there’s too many factors going against Tampa Bay in Game 4, and I’m expecting the Avalanche to get a few more past Vasilevskiy this time around.

Best Bet: Avalanche ML (-115) 1U

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