- The Giants travel to Dallas to take on the Cowboys on Thanksgiving
- The Cowboys are 9.5-point home favorites in the Giants vs Cowboys odds
- Read below to find out the best NFL betting pick for Thursday
We have a solid slate of Turkey Day games this year, and a divisional NFC matchup makes it even more fun. The 7-3 Giants travel to Jerry World to take on the 7-3 Cowboys coming off of two very different weeks. This game takes place on Thanksgiving, Thursday November 24th at 4:30 PM at AT&T Stadium in Dallas, TX. The Giants are listed as +310 moneyline underdogs in the Giants vs Cowboys odds.
Let’s take a look at the Giants vs Cowboys odds for Thursday afternoon at BetMGM Sportsbook as we dissect our favorite play for this matchup.
Giants vs Cowboys Odds
|New York Giants||+310||+9.5 (-110)||Over 45.5 (-110)|
|Dallas Cowboys||-380||-9.5 (-110)||Under 45.5 (-110)|
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook!
New York sports betting markets make the Cowboys near double digit favorites in a NFC East divisional clash. Usually you shouldn’t bet against the underdog in a divisional matchup, but NFC East underdogs are actually 1-4 against the spread this season.
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Giants Betting Outlook
Brian Daboll has done wonders for this Giants team this season, but in recent weeks, Vegas hasn’t been as impressed. The Giants are 7-3 on the season, but haven’t been great in their last 4 games, in which the team is 2-2 against the Jaguars, Seahawks, Texans and Lions. The Giants have the 21st ranked scoring offense, and the 13th ranked scoring defense, and Avery’s silly brain thinks that the second half for the Giants isn’t going to be as nice to them as the first half was.
Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley have carried this offense, and in recent weeks, Wan’Dale Robinson has contributed a ton, but his season has unfortunately come to an end due to a torn ACL. The Giants run the ball at the 4th highest rate in the league, for the 4th most yards/game and the 4th most rush TD’s/game. The 4.7 Yards/Rush has the Giants ranked 12th in that category. Although they throw the ball at a low rate, Daniel Jones is in the top half of the league in completion percentage, and has a low INT Thrown%. The main issue, is how much Jones gets sacked. They get sacked at the second highest rate in all of football, closing in at 9.55% which is a ton, and feels a spot where the Cowboys are going to feast.
The Giants have been solid defensively this season. The 13th ranked scoring defense has some nice stats that show why they have been successful in Opponents 3D Conv % which is 5th best in football, and Opponents RZ Scoring % (TD) ranking second in the league. They also do a good job of keeping touchdowns off the board, only allowing 1.9 a game, only three teams are better than them in that category. The defense is second worst in football in opponents yards/rush at 5.3 and give up 135.9 yards/game on the ground. Through the air, the Giants are only giving up a 58.7% completion rate which is 3rd best in the league and rank right in the middle at 211.8 pass yards/game against.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants’ last 5 games.
- NY Giants are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas.
- NY Giants are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against Dallas.
Dallas Betting Outlook
The Dallas Cowboys have some really impressive numbers across the board, even having Cooper Rush navigate winning weeks with this squad. They have the 7th ranked scoring offense and the best scoring defense in the league. The Cowboys are coming off of a huge win against the Vikings, and they probably wanted to play this divisional game on Monday to keep the momentum going.
I was surprised to see that the rushing numbers weren’t as good as I was expecting, but that may be because of Ezekiel Elliott’s deficiencies, which are crossed out with how good Tony Pollard has been for this team. They are running the ball at the 7th highest rate in football for 136.2 yards and 1.3 touchdowns per game. The numbers also aren’t spectacular through the air. They rank outside the top 20 in the league in Pass Play %, Completion %, Pass Yards/ Game and INT %.
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) November 22, 2022
This defensive unit could legitimately win them a Super Bowl, lead by Micah Parsons. They are only giving up 16.7 Points/Game, the 5th least yards/play, 5th in Opp RZ Scoring % and 2nd in Opp TDs/Game. Success can be had on the Cowboys against the run, giving up almost 140 yards on the ground a game, and that’s where the Giants should target them. The Cowboys are only giving up 174.5 pass yards/game, and 5.6 yards/ pass.
- The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas’ last 20 games
- Dallas are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference East division.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas’ last 7 games at home.
Giants vs Cowboys Pick
I think this game becomes a test of who can run the ball better, and that would play a lot better to this under. Dallas should be able to dial up a lot of pressure and get after Daniel Jones making this game a nightmare for him. The Giants receiving core is depleted and it should show, especially on a short week.
Pick: Cowboys -9.5, Under 45.5, Daniel Jones Under 195.5 Passing Yards