- A rematch of Week 1, the Cowboys face the Bucs in the Wild Card round
- Dallas is a 2.5-point road favorite in the Cowboys vs Buccaneers odds
- Check out the game prediction and best pick for this NFC Wild Card matchup
In Week 1, the Cowboys put up a horrendous performance versus Tom Brady and the Buccaneers. The game ended with the Bucs winning 19 to 3. The sole touchdown belonged to Mike Evans via a 5-yard pass from Tom Brady. Will the NFC Wild Card rematch provide a similar outcome? Let’s take a peek at the Cowboys vs Buccaneers odds at BetMGM.
Cowboys vs Buccaneers Odds
|Dallas Cowboys||-145||-2.5 (-110)||O 45.5 (-110)|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+120||+2.5 (-110)||U 45.5 (-110)|
Odds courtesy of BetMGM!
New York sports betting markets list the Cowboys as road favorites in this one, despite their loss earlier this season. Tampa Bay is a league worst 4-12-1 against the spread this season, including a 1-6-1 ATS record at home.
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Dallas Cowboys Betting Outlook
This season has been a tough one for Dak Prescott and all of his supporters. He was injured during the fourth quarter in Week 1 versus the Buccaneers. Missing five regular season games while recovering from surgery. He returned five weeks later and led the Cowboys to a 12-5 record, entering the playoffs as the 5th seed and the number 1 Wild Card seed.
All of this while leading the NFL with 15 interceptions. The critics have been very loud when it comes to Prescott and his performance as the leader of the Cowboys offense. Jerry Jones, not being one of those critics.
Jerry Jones: It's in Dak's DNA not to turn the ball over. https://t.co/QY8WlCU9sq
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) January 11, 2023
11 of Prescott’s interceptions have occurred in their own territory, putting their defense in a very tough spot to stop the opposition.
The Cowboys’ defense has been very streaky throughout the season but ended the regular season as the #6 defense in points allowed. Allowing 20 points per game to the opposition, while leading the league in turnovers forced with 33.
Regardless of the Cowboys offensive turnover problem, Dallas knows how to put the ball in the endzone. Currently ranked #3 overall in total points scored with 467, sitting behind the Chiefs and Eagles.
The Cowboys currently own a +10 turnover margin and a +125 scoring margin.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Outlook
The Buccaneers’ season has not been a pretty one, pulling off an NFC South clinching win in Week 17. Clinching the division with an 8-9 record. Entering the playoffs with a losing record and being gifted a home game is never something that anyone would expect.
The goal before the season is always to win the Super Bowl, and the goal is still very much alive for this Buccaneers team.
In the first matchup, the Buccaneers dominated in all three phases. Leonard Fournette ran for 127 yards and averaged 6 yards per carry in the Sunday Night Football matchup. Since that dominant rushing performance, the Bucs’ rushing offense has regressed significantly. Currently graded as the league’s worst rushing game via Pro Football Focus.
Entering this weekend, Tampa Bay is in the bottom 8 with a -45 scoring margin and a -2 turnover margin. If the Bucs were in any other division, they would not be in the playoffs.
One bright spot does shine through the struggles. Mike Evans racked up 319 yards receiving and 3 touchdowns in his last three games played.
Evans is just one of the many playmakers that the Cowboys’ secondary will need to gameplan for.
Cowboys vs Buccaneers Pick & Prediction
I will be the first one to say that I have zero faith in this Bucs team. They are not the same monster that we have seen over the past few years.
If this Dallas offense is able to get their running game going, it will be difficult for the Bucs to stop explosive backs in Elliott and Pollard. Pollard is a VERY dangerous back during passing downs, something that Dallas did not really utilize until later in the season. With the total points sitting at 45.5, a shootout may be imminent. Something that the Buccaneers will not want any part of.
There is a lot of good value to be found in this game, most of which are not related to the betting spread or total, but within the player proposition market. There are two plays that stand out and are tempting my contrarian side. Especially after the different statistics mentioned in this post.
I expect a run heavy game plan from this Cowboys team with periodic explosive plays from the passing game to break this game open. With the Buccaneers playing from behind for majority of this game, expect a lot of passing from this Tampa Bay team.
Best Picks: Dak Prescott UNDER 0.5 interceptions (+130) 1 unit, Chris Godwin OVER 7.5 receptions (+110) 1 unit