- NFL Week 1 Sunday Night Football features the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys on Sunday, September 11th
- Tampa Bay are short 2.5-point favorites in the Buccaneers vs Cowboys odds
- Read below to find out the best Bucs vs Cowboys NFL betting pick
Sunday Night Football makes its triumphant return on September 10 as the Buccaneers travel to Jerry’s World for a rematch of last year’s opening night matchup with the Cowboys. This time last year, the Bucs were defending champs when they hosted Dallas on Thursday Night Football and won 31-29 on a last-second field goal. This time around, the 45-year-old Tom Brady is back after a brief retirement, and both teams are missing key pieces on both sides of the ball. Tampa Bay are short road favorites in the Buccaneers vs Cowboys odds.
Caesars Sportsbook is expecting another close matchup, as the Bucs get less than a field goal on the road after opening 2021 as 9.5-point home favorites against Dallas. The point total is set at a healthy 51.0 points, which is the fourth highest on the NFL slate.
Buccaneers vs Cowboys Odds
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||-145||-2.5 (-110)||Over 51.0 (-110)|
|Dallas Cowboys||+122||+2.5 (-110)||Under 51.0 (-110)|
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Outlook
The Bucs were average ATS last season at just 9-8. They were favored in all nine of their road games but covered in just three of them. They were similarly underwhelming straight up on the road with a 3-6 record. What that tells us is that the Bucs were impressive at home and below average on the road from a betting perspective. They play Sunday on the road.
Oldest 53-Man Rosters
— Spotrac (@spotrac) August 31, 2022
This Bucs team looks a lot different than it did a year ago. Ali Marpet, the 28-year-old Pro Bowl guard, surprisingly retired in the offseason, and center Ryan Jensen is on IR due to a knee injury. That leaves a couple of big holes on the offensive line, which is of utmost importance in protecting Tampa Bay’s 45-year-old signal caller. Fortunately, the team traded a fifth-round pick for Shaq Mason back in March, and Tristan Wirfs (back) is expected to be good to go for Week 1. The shakeup on the o-line is still concerning.
This time last year, Brady had Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski at his disposal, but AB quit on the team last season when he took his helmet off and left the field against the Jets, and Gronk retired. The Bucs signed Russell Gage, but he’s questionable for Week 1 due to a hamstring injury. The team also brought in veterans Julio Jones and Kyle Rudolph to help fill the skill position void.
Dallas Cowboys Betting Outlook
While Tampa Bay was average ATS, Dallas was the best team in the NFL at 13-4, which included a 5-3 home record. Dallas was the underdog four times overall and covered in three games, winning two. The Boys were 5-3 straight up in home games.
— Michael Gehlken (@GehlkenNFL) September 7, 2022
Just like Tampa Bay, Dallas’ receiving corps looks a bit different in 2022. Amari Cooper was traded to the Browns for fifth and sixth-round picks, while Michael Gallup will be out for Week 1 while recovering from an ACL injury. That leaves CeeDee Lamb as the clear No. 1 receiver, with TE Dalton Schultz (playing under the franchise tag) next in line. The Cowboys will utilize some combination of Noah Brown and rookie third-rounder Jalen Tolbert against Tampa Bay to absorb the remaining targets.
Offensive lineman Tyron Smith is on IR and not expected back until Week 13 due to a knee injury. Rookie first-rounder Tyler Smith is due to start on the line, and Dallas hopes to get immediate production from him.
A bulk of these injuries are the main reason why Dallas are home underdogs in the Buccaneers vs Cowboys odds.
Buccaneers vs Cowboys Pick & Prediction
Dak Prescott is 8-4 straight up against the NFC South in his career, while Tom Brady is 6-0 straight up against the Cowboys. This is sure to be a close contest, and something’s got to give between these two dynamic QBs. The Bucs were bad on the road last season, and Tampa Bay’s scoring margin was 11 points worse in road vs home games. Both teams have major offensive line issues and both are missing key pass-catchers.
The line feels like it should be more of a Pick ’em, so I’m going to roll with the home team and take value on the underdog in the Buccaneers vs Cowboys odds.
Caesars Sportsbook prides themselves as a top NFL online sportsbook and they prove that point offering the best odds on the Cowboys.
Pick: Cowboys ML (+122) 1 unit