Nov 30-
- The Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots meet on Thursday Night Football in Week 13
- Josh Allen will be highlighted in Thursday’s player props
- Read below for our breakdown of the best Bills vs. Patriots betting props
Welcome to NFL Week 13. It is rather wild that the season is flying by like this, as we are now officially in the final third of the season. We are seeing the AFC look very strong, particularly the AFC East, which is where we find ourselves with this TNF matchup. We will be looking to take advantage of a few Bills vs Patriots props where opportunity is clear, so let’s not waste anymore time and hop right into this weeks TNF matchup.
Be sure to shop around New York sports betting sites for the best Ravens vs. Bucs odds before placing your bets! We’ll be looking at DraftKings, Caesars Sportsbook, and BetMGM for the best NFL Week 13 Thursday Night Football props.
Bills vs. Patriots Props for TNF Week 13
| Matchup | Pick | Risk |
| Bills @ Patriots | Josh Allen o42.5 Rushing Yards (-110) | 1 Unit |
| Bills @ Patriots | Mac Jones u230.5 Passing Yards (-110) | 1 Unit |
TNF Week 13 Prop #1 – Josh Allen OVER 42.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
We will start things off this week with an Allen rushing over. It should be made public that I am born and raised in Buffalo NY, and as a result, a huge Josh Allen homer. There may be some bias in this prop selection here, but it doesn’t come without reason. Bill Belichick has made a career out of taking away the opposing teams best offensive weapon. To me, that sounds like he is going to try to give Allen as many problems at the line as possible which may force him out of the pocket more often than not. The Bills have also been giving Josh a decent amount of designed runs the past few weeks, and in a huge division game on the road late in the season, Allen will be without restriction and utilized to the best of the coaching staffs ability.
Also, it is worth noting that at first glance, this line seems quite high. That just makes me want to bet it even more. A lot of the time you see these and they’re total traps, but I’ll just stay on the over here despite it seemingly a bit hefty. I’m confident the public money probably comes in on the under here, so it’s a spot I definitely want to be on the other side of.
Josh Allen's last 2 games at NE:
* 71 points scored
* 68% completion
* 634 passing yards
* 7 TD/0 INT
* 99 yards rushing on 16 carries— Howard WGR (@hsimon62) November 30, 2022
TNF Week 13 Prop #2 – Mac Jones UNDER 230.5 Passing Yards (-110)
The only chance the Patriots have to win this game is if they run for 250 yards between the two backs in Stevenson and Harris and control the ball for 40 minutes. If this game turns into a track meet, they will get dusted, as they have plenty of times over the last few seasons and most memorably in the playoffs last year.
With that being said, we know Bill is one of, if not the greatest coach in NFL history, and will not send his team to the slaughterhouse by having Mac Jones chuck the ball 50 times. There is a route to bust here, being a huge 3-4 touchdown halftime lead for the Bills, where the Patriots simply have no other choice but to throw a ton. However, the spread suggests that is not going to be the case, so hopefully we get a close game…one that ends in a Bills dub of course! Let’s load up on Mac Jones unders on Thursday.
