2023 NFC East Division Predictions, Odds, and Best NFL Betting Pick For Each Team

Aug 25- 27 min read
NFC East odds, betting preview, picks
  • Get the 2023 NFC East odds for each team in the division
  • The Cowboys open as favorites to win the division according to Caesars Sportsbook
  • Check out our NFC East division preview and predictions for each team before the 2023 NFL season

The NFC East has not had a back-to-back winner since the Philadelphia Eagles won four consecutive titles from 2001-2004. Since then a different team has won the division every season, and last year that was the Dallas Cowboys. They enter this season as the favorites to repeat in the NFC East division odds on Caesars Sportsbook.

The NFC East is shaping up to be a two-horse race between the Cowboys and Eagles. Both of these teams made the playoffs last season, and are favored to do so again in 2022.

The Commanders were aggressive in the offseason, acquiring Carson Wentz and resigning Terry McLaurin, yet still find themselves with the third best odds to win the division. Daniel Jones remains the starter on the Giants despite having a 12-25 record since being drafted in 2019. In this article, I will be taking a look at the NFC East division odds for the upcoming NFL season and providing my best bet for each team.

NFC East Division Odds

Team Win Total Win Division Win Conference To Make Playoffs Super Bowl
Dallas Cowboys 10.5 +130 +900 -290 +2000
Philadelphia Eagles 9.5 +155 +1100 -160 +2500
Washington Commanders 7.5 +575 +4000 +160 +8000
New York Giants 7.0 +800 +5000 +235 +10000

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook!

One interesting thing to note from these odds is that although Dallas lost many key contributors in the offseason, they still find themselves as the division favorites. Meanwhile, the Eagles, who added AJ Brown, Haason Reddick, and James Bradberry in the offseason find themselves as the runner-up.

The Commanders and Giants are in a completely different situation and are very clearly a tier below the Cowboys or Eagles. The Commanders brought in Carson Wentz this offseason, in the hopes that he can provide a spark for an offense that hasn’t been in the top 20 since Kirk Cousins was on the team in 2017. The Giants make up the back end of this conference, and for good reason. Daniel Jones leads the NFL in turnovers since entering the league in 2019 (65), and there are no signs that their offense or defense will take major steps forward next season.

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Dallas Cowboys Betting Outlook

The Cowboys enter 2022 in a considerably worse position than they did in 2021, yet still, see themselves as division favorites. They lost several major contributors in the offseason. Amari Cooper at receiver was traded, while right tackle La’el Collins left to join the Bengals in free agency. They also saw wide receiver Cedrick Wilson Jr and defensive end Randy Gregory walk away in the offseason.

Their WR room is very thin and banged. Amari Cooper left in free agency and the guys expected to take his position, Michael Gallup and James Washington, are expected to be sidelined for at least the first few weeks of the season. The one mainstay at receiver is third-year wide receiver, CeeDee Lamb, who made the Pro Bowl last season after putting up 76 receptions, 1178 yards, and 6 touchdowns.

The former Big-12 player of the year at Oklahoma is potentially the most important player on the Cowboys roster entering next season and will have a huge burden on his shoulders. Rookie receiver Jalen Tolbert from South Alabama is one of my favorite fantasy football undrafted sleepers and will start the season as the Cowboys WR2. Noah Brown and Simi Fehoko will fight for the WR3 spot, but neither of those guys has totaled over 200 receiving yards in a single season.

They have a two-headed monster at running back with Ezekiel Elliot and Tony Pollard, who both had over 150 touches and 1000 yards last season. Pollard has even been discussed as a guy who could take snaps at receiver or split out wide this season. Quarterback, Dak Prescott, is one of the most underappreciated players in the NFL and has averaged 303 passing yards per game over his last three seasons.

They have one of the most up-and-down defenses in the NFL but finished as the seventh-best scoring defense in the NFL last season. The primary catalyst of that is Trevon Diggs who remains the most inconsistent player in the NFL. Last season he led the NFL in interceptions with 11 but also had the most passing yards allowed with 907. The star of this defense is second-year linebacker, Micah Parsons, who finished as the runner-up for DPOY as a rookie. As a rookie last year Parsons was top ten in sacks (13) and tackles for loss (21) while making first-team All-Pro.

He is truly a one-of-a-kind defensive player who can play all over the field. Last season he had 390 snaps on the defensive line, 540 at linebacker, 20 in the slot, 9 as a corner, and even got one snap at free safety.  The recent signing of Anthony Barr at linebacker should help him even more. Barr practically fills his role as an off-ball linebacker, and if he can do that at a high level that allows Parsons to rush the passer more in a Lawrence Taylor-type role.

For the first time since 2004, I am picking an NFC East team to repeat as conference champions. The Dallas Cowboys are currently favored to win the NFC East with +130 odds on Caesars Sportsbook. Last season, the Cowboys won the division on the backs of their passing offense, and the duo of Micah Parsons and Trevon Diggs making game-changing plays on defense. Although their offense will take a dip next season they still have a Pro Bowl QB in Dak Prescott, who is far and away the best quarterback in this conference.

They also happen to have the best receiver in this conference, CeeeDee Lamb, and in my opinion, the best running back in this conference, Ezekiel Elliott. On defense, Micah Parsons is entering his second season and should be making a run for defensive player of the year. Meanwhile, corner Trevon Diggs will look to once again lead the NFL in interceptions. The Cowboys have the most talent in this division, and I think they should cruise to a division title with this dynamic defense and overpowering offense.

Pick: Dallas Cowboys to Win the NFC East  (+130)

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Outlook

Could this be the Eagles’ breakthrough season? The signing of head coach, Nick Sirianni, was met with skepticism last season, but the team made the playoffs in the first year. Now in his second year at the helm, he looks to take the next step with the Eagles. Despite this, the Eagles’ win total of 9.5 is not that much different from their 9 total wins in 2021.

This was surprising to me because the Eagles were very active in the offseason and picked up some key contributors. First and foremost they traded for receiver AJ Brown on draft night who will take over as the alpha-dog WR1.

Brown is coming from a Titans offense where he averaged a 32.9% target rate, and a 40.8% air yards share, which was both top 5 in the league. The Eagles have many talented receiving options already on their roster. Devonta Smith and Dallas Goedert combined for 180 targets, 120 receptions, and 1,746 receiving yards last season. They have also spent a lot of draft capital at receiver, and others such as Quez Watkins, Jalen Reagor, and Kenneth Gainwell all had over 30 receptions and 250 receiving yards last season.

The Eagles also signed edge rusher Haason Reddick to a three-year deal in the offseason. Over the last two seasons on both the Cardinals and Panthers Reddick has totaled 131 tackles, 23.5 sacks, and 27 TFLs. He bolsters a line that already featured Brandon Graham and Fletcher Cox. Cornerback, James Bradberry signed a one-year deal to join the Eagles in the offseason. He will pair with Darius Slay to form one of the best cornerback tandems in the league. Despite all that, the strength of the Eagles still lies in the trenches. They have one of the best offensive lines in the NFL anchored by Jordan Mailata and Lane Johnson at tackle.

The Eagles’ win total is currently set at 9.5 but opened at 8.5. This is very surprising for a team that won 9 games and made the playoffs last season. This is a team that improved drastically from last season with a ton of new additions. First and foremost, the addition of star receiver, AJ Brown adds a new element to this already dynamic offense.

The Eagles began last season with a 2-5 record but ended with a record of 8-9 after going 5-1 over the last six weeks. The main reason for that was their drastic scheme change midseason that saw them become a high-profile rushing offense. In 2021 they had the 2nd most rushing attempts in the league and were only one behind the Titans. They also had the least passing attempts in the league and the highest rush rate. This works so well because they have one of the best offensive lines in the league anchored by Jordan Mailata at left tackle. The Eagle’s defense should also take a major step forward after adding pro bowlers Haason Reddick and James Bradberry. Reddick, who has 23.5 sacks and 27 TFLs over the last two seasons is the elite edge threat the Eagles have been missing since their Super Bowl run in 2018.

Pick: Philadelphia Eagles Over 9.5 Wins (-140)

Washington Commanders Betting Outlook

The Commanders are undergoing a drastic QB change in the offseason. They brought in Carson Wentz from the Colts, who should be a slight step up from previous QB, Taylor Heinicke. Wentz is clearly not the quarterback he was in 2017, but the Commanders took a shot on him hoping he can be an above-average passer. Fortunately for Washington, they have many talented receivers for Wentz to throw to. At the top of that list is Terry Mclaurin who has totaled 222 receptions, 3090 receiving yards, and 16 touchdowns since entering the league in 2019. They also have the likes of Curtis Samuel and rookie Jahan Dotson as receivers. At tight end, they have the ever-consistent Logan Thomas. The RB duo of Antonio Gibson and JD Mckissic is one of the best 1-2 punches in football.

In 2020, the Commander’s defense was ranked 2nd in the league, and their scoring defense was ranked 4th. However, in 2021 those ranks fell to 22nd and 25th. Washington has one of the best defensive lines across the board in the whole league. From end to end they boast Chase Young, Daron Payne, Jonathon Allen, and Montez Sweat. All of these guys are former first-round picks, and outside of Chase Young, who was the highest pick, they have all lived up to their potential. Their back seven is one of the weaker units in the league, but Kendall Fuller is a bright spot at cornerback. Head coach, Ron Rivera is entering his second season with the team and is looking to lead them to a winning record for the first time since 2016.

The Commanders are going from the hardest strength of schedule in the NFL last season, to the easiest. The Commanders have won seven games the past two seasons, but this is the one where they go over. Washington has the luxury of playing the Giants twice in the regular season, but this year they will also play the Lions, Bears, Jaguars, Texans, and Falcons. If all goes to plan, that should be seven wins, meaning they only need to win one of their other ten games. The addition of Carson Wentz drastically raises Washington’s ceiling and if he and the receiving core can develop good chemistry, this team could have a sneaky good offense next season. For these reasons, this is my single favorite bet in the NFC East this season.

Pick: Washington Commanders Over 7.5 Wins  (-125)

New York Giants Betting Outlook

The New York Giants are looking to take a step forward next season after a successful draft. On the backs of their two first-round picks, their 2022 draft class is arguably one of the best in the league. It all starts at the top with Kayvon Thibodeaux and Evan Neal who were both picked in the top ten. They also picked up dynamic playmaker Wan’Dale Robinson in the second round.

The Giants also had some major shake-ups on their coaching staff. Joe Judge was fired as head coach in the offseason, and owner Steve Tisch brought in Brian Daboll in the offseason. Daboll was the offensive coordinator for the Buffalo Bills for the past three seasons. Daboll is bringing in Mike Kafka as offensive coordinator and has tabbed former Ravens DC, Don “Wink” Martindale, as the team’s new defensive coordinator. In 2021, things could not have turned out worse for the Giants who finished with a 4-13 record.

The major question for them entering next season is whether or not they will be able to stay healthy. Saquon Barkley along with Kenny Golladay and Kadarius Toney will return from injury and should be ready by week one this season. Barkley has not played a full season since his rookie campaign in 2018 when he won offensive rookie of the year and made the Pro Bowl. Golladay is still on one of the most expensive receiver contracts in the NFL at $21 million per year, and Toney had a top ten target share (28.9%) when he was healthy last season.

The Giant’s offense should improve drastically as long as Daniel Jones can take a minor step forward and limit his turnovers. Daniel Jones has had 29 interceptions and 36 fumbles since entering the league in 2019. The Giant’s defense is very young but showed a lot of promise last season. At the forefront of that was safety, Xavier McKinney who broke out last season putting up 93 tackles and 5 interceptions. This should be a rebuilding year for the Giants as I expect them to finish last in the NFC East. That being said, I still think this roster has the talent to compete with any team in the NFL on a given week.

Over the past two seasons, Saquon Barkley has combined for only 627 rushing yards on 181 attempts, which is 3.5 yards per attempt. Barkley has a history of injuries and has only suited up for 28 of 49 games over the Giant’s past three seasons. That history of injuries is very troubling going into next season, and I doubt anyone could confidently say that Barkley will remain healthy for the entire season.

Even more worrisome is Brian Daboll’s new pass-heavy offense. In his four seasons in Buffalo, his offense did not produce a single 900-yard rusher or even one that was given over 200 carries. Lastly, the Giants do not have a good run-blocking offensive line, and Barkley’s indecisiveness hurts them at times. Over the past two seasons when running into a light box, Barkley has been stuffed on 25.6% of his carries which is the highest rate in the league.

Pick: Saquon Barkley Under 900.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

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