Warriors vs Celtics Game 6 Odds, Preview & Betting Pick – Can Boston Extend the NBA Championship Series?
The Golden State Warriors are on the brink of their fourth NBA Championship in eight seasons as we head to Boston for game 6 of the series. The Warriors got significant contribution from their role players in a game 5 home win. Highlighted by a team leading 26 points and 13 rebounds from Andrew Wiggins. Even though the Celtics are coming off back-to-back losses for the first time this postseason, the Warriors vs Celtics game 6 odds favor Boston at home.
Although the Warriors were able to walk out of the Chase Center with a win, game 5 was far from pretty. Golden State was a paltry 9/40 from behind the arc, highlighted by Steph Curry not making a single one of his 9 attempts. Meanwhile, the Celtics paired 18 turnovers with a 68% free throw percentage on 31 attempts. Let’s see how Caesars Sportsbook has adjusted the Warriors vs Celtics game 6 odds.
Warriors vs Celtics Game 6 Odds
|O 210 (-110)
|Golden State Warriors
|U 210 (-110)
Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook!
With the Celtics on the brink of elimination, New York online sports betting markets don’t seem to think this series will end in Boston on Thursday night. If that’s the case, taking a shot on the Celtics to come back and win this series may be the way to go. BetRivers Ontario lists Boston at +315 odds to come back and hoist the Larry O’Brien trophy.
Golden State managed to secure a victory despite the off night from Curry we mentioned earlier. Curry’s point total prop is down three points from the number it was at for game 5 at Caesars Sportsbook. If you like him to exceed his 28.5 point total then a wager using Caesars Sportsbook promo code ‘OWNERSBOX15’ for a risk-free bet up to $1,000 is the way to go.
Playoff Betting Trend Points Towards Boston
There is still plenty to be encouraged about for Celtics fans, especially when you consider their recent playoff history after a loss like that. Boston is 5-0 in games after turning over the ball more than 15 times the previous game in these playoffs. The most recent time they did this was in game 3 of the this series when they had 18 turnovers the previous game. The Celtics had that same amount in game 4, fitting this playoff betting trend.
The shoulder of the blame for this lack of ball protection comes to Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Marcus Smart. If your best players aren’t playing like your best players then you don’t have a chance. Not only did these three struggle with turnovers but shot selection from Brown and Tatum was poor. More than 60% of their game 5 shot attempts were tightly contested, up more than 20% from the regular season.
These are the five players who have taken the most *very tightly* contested shots this playoffs. Here are their FG%:
30.0% — Andrew Wiggins
32.1% — Jayson Tatum
38.7% — Jaylen Brown
39.4% — Giannis Antetokounmpo
52.0% — Steph Curry pic.twitter.com/PJyMVhsIeh
— StatMuse (@statmuse) June 12, 2022
The Celtics have been able to maintain elite defensive play, even without forcing turnovers. It’s the reason they had any chance to win in game 4, they have the best 3-point defense in the NBA. What they’ll need is their reserves to match the level of play that Jordan Poole and Gary Payton have provided. In particular Derrick White, who’s had the most three point attempts that are considered “wide open” of any player on the Celtics this series.
Can Golden State Close Out the Series?
These Warriors of course are no stranger to close out opportunities in the postseason. But in these 2022 NBA Playoffs they’ve struggled to shut the door on the series in their first effort, failing to do so against the Nuggets, Grizzlies and Mavericks. The difference here though is that those weren’t game 6 opportunities. But with a game 7 being back in Golden State, could closing out a championship on home-court be on their mind?
We’re unlikely to see Steph Curry throw up another dud of a performance in back-to-back games. This makes it feel like a squandered opportunity for the Celtics as it seems as though Wiggins, Thompson and even Green have started to find their game on the offensive side. But it’s really a credit to their defense as the Celtics have failed to reach 100 points three times in this series. That only happened twice in 20 games through the Eastern Conference.
The Warriors have done an excellent job of limiting the Celtics best players, we’ve yet to see that statement performance from either of their stars. You could even say that in the event Boston takes this series that Steph Curry could still claim Finals MVP. That’s credit to Kerr’s rotation and the impact Gary Patyon has had as a defender.
Warriors vs Celtics Game 6 Betting Pick
There are two plays in this game that I like, one being a prop and the other being against the spread. I’ve shopped around at Ontario online sports betting sites for the best odds, be sure to do so yourself.
For the prop bet I’m looking at Derrick White over 1.5 three pointers. White has been given plenty of open looks in this series, he’s gone over this number in three of the five games. The Warriors defense has been tremendous against Tatum and Brown, I don’t see that changing here, so I’m looking for those two to distribute the ball with White being a major benefactor.
My against the spread pick is on the Boston Celtics, who I was able to find at -3.5 over at BetMGM Ontario. I’ve been backing this bounce back turnover trend this postseason and it’s paid off, no reason to go away from it. I see a lot of positive regression coming offensively for Boston, they’ve shot uncharacteristically bad the last two games.
I’ll be putting together a same game parlay of these two bets as well at BetMGM at +260 in the Warriors vs Celtics game 6 odds.
Pick: Derrick White OVER 1.5 three pointers (-110) & Celtics -3.5 (-115)