Celtics vs Warriors Game 5 Odds, Preview & Prediction – Golden State Now Betting Favorite to Win NBA Finals

Jun 12- 9 min read

Celtics vs Warriors Game 5 Odds, Preview & Prediction – Golden State Now Betting Favorite to Win NBA Finals

The NBA Finals are knotted up at 2-2 as the series shifts back to Golden State for an ever important game 5. The ankle injury discussed at length from Steph Curry was a non-factor in game 4 as the Warriors point guard provided one of his best performances in his NBA Finals career. Going 7/14 from three, dropping 43 points and adding 10 rebounds. After a road win the Celtics vs Warriors game 5 odds project Golden State in the drivers seat.

The NBA Finals odds have changed drastically in each passing game. The Celtics were as long as -225 favorites at New York sports betting sites before the game tipped off on Friday night. With the Warriors getting two of the final three games of this series at home they are now the betting favorite to hoist the Larry O’Brien trophy, with odds of -140 at Caesars Sportsbook.

Celtics vs Warriors Game 5 Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Golden State Warriors -170 -3.5 (-110) O 212 (-110)
Boston Celtics +145 +3.5 (-110) U 212 (-110)

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook

With the Warriors back on home court at the Chase Center, PointsBet Ontario has Steph Curry’s point total out to 31.5. This is the biggest number he’s had this postseason but the under is juiced all the way to -135. Golden State has only lost one game in the 2022 NBA playoffs at home and it was in game 1 of the NBA Finals.

The game total has bounced back and forth between over and under through the first four games but the total in the Celtics vs Warriors game 5 odds is actually the lowest of the series. Considering Boston’s turnover issues and Golden State’s inability to get secondary scoring it’s been a very unpredictable battle so far.

celtics vs warriors game 5 odds

Warriors Need A Secondary Scoring Option

Curry undoubtedly put the Warriors on his back on Friday night in Boston. Andrew Wiggins 16 rebounds went a long way in shoring up what ailed them in game 4 but make no mistake this was Steph’s night. But this just isn’t sustainable, the Celtics aren’t going to shoot 40% from the field and give up 16 offensive rebounds every night moving forward.

Draymond Green wants absolutely nothing to do with the basketball on the offensive side. He is 6/26 from the field in this series. Klay Thompson is shooting just 34% from three point range. Then there is the balancing act of Jordan Poole, who can catch lightning in a bottle on the offensive side but is a liability on defense.

Boston has the size advantage down low to win on the glass and the Warriors were 29th in turnover rate during the season. If they can’t find a way to get consistent scoring beyond Curry then I’m not so sure this series is a wrap.

Boston Record After A Loss

The Celtics have lost seven times in the 2022 postseason and they are 7-0 the next night. Ime Udoka’s crew has done a great job making adjustments and bouncing back. But can they do it here against a Warriors team that is loaded with NBA Finals experience? There is a lot that tells me they can.

Golden State has been launching from three at a high volume in this series and they like to do it more when they back in San Francisco. The Celtics can always rely on their perimeter defense from Marcus Smart and Derrick White. They have the best 3-point road defense in the NBA. What will take them over the top is a more responsible and effortful showing around the rim.

Boston was 5th during the regular season is 2nd chance points allowed and after an abysmal showing in game 4 I’d expect to see and inspired bounce back performance from this group. The Celtics had been ahead in the rebounding battle through 3 games and losing that significantly in game 4 can be the difference when the talent is so tight.

Celtics vs Warriors Game 5 Pick

The Celtics have been a Jekyll and Hyde team all postseason long and it hasn’t hurt them, could this be the time when it finally gets the best of them? I really don’t think so when you look at their depth. The top-end talent is close but Golden State just doesn’t have the wealth of options Boston has to pair with Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum.

The Warriors game 4 win required an uncharacteristically bad night on the boards, 15 turnovers and Boston’s least efficient shooting performance of the series combined with a can’t miss night from Steph Curry. I can’t let recency bias get in the way of who is the better team.

Boston’s track record after a loss in these playoffs has be chomping at the bit to back them to cover this spread as underdogs.

Pick: Celtics +4 at BetRivers

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