White Sox vs Guardians Odds and Pick – Giolito vs Civale

Jul 13- 8 min read
White Sox vs Guardians odds
  • White Sox vs Guardians odds list Chicago as short road favorites on Wednesday, July 13th, 2022
  • The pitching matchup features Lucas Giolito vs Aaron Civale
  • Read below for our best bet and prediction for White Sox vs Guardians

The Chicago White Sox head to Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians on Wednesday, July 13th, 2022. Illinois online sports betting markets list Chicago as short road favorites in the White Sox vs Guardians odds. First pitch is set for 7:10 PM EST, with the Guardians winners of just three of their last 10 games.

Let’s take a look at the White Sox vs Guardians odds at Caesars Sportsbook as we breakdown the best pick for this AL matchup.

White Sox vs Guardians Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Chicago White Sox -115 -1.5 (+143) O 8.0 (-115)
Cleveland Guardians -105 +1.5 (-170) U 8.0 (-105)

Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook

Caesars Sportsbook Illinois lists Chicago to win by two or more at +143. However, with their current line in the White Sox vs Guardians odds, they have an implied win probability of 53.49%.

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Illinois Sports Betting Apps List Giolito, White Sox as Favorites

Both teams are struggling heading into this matchup. The White Sox are 4-6 on their last 10, while the Guardians are 3-7. However, Chicago gets their ace in Lucas Giolito on the mound, which is why bettors are seeing them as short road favorites in the White Sox vs Guardians odds.

The White Sox generally hit lefties much better, but they’re facing Aaron Civale who is a righty. Civale is 4-3 with a 5.14 ERA and 35 strikeouts against the White Sox over his career.

White Sox vs Guardians Pitching Matchup

Team Record ERA WHIP O/U
Lucas Giolito 5-5 5.05 1.44 9-5
Aaron Civale 2-5 6.28 1.45 8-3

Both of these pitchers have been great to the over. Giolito is 9-5 to the over, while Civale is 8-3. The Guardians OBP against right-handed pitchers this year is .321, which is 8th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the White Sox stand at just .300, which is seventh worst.

However, over the last month, the White Sox have the fifth-best OBP against right-handed pitchers.

Does the Total Have Betting Value?

Lucas Giolito has been unbelievable against Cleveland over the course of his career. He’s 4-3 with 1.93 ERA and 76 strikeouts in 11 appearances. With how well both of these teams have been hitting over the last month, the over would seem like the right play. However, the weather might play a factor in this one, which is why betting a total in White Sox vs Guardians on Tuesday could get a little dicey.

Giolito gave up five earned runs in his last start against the Tigers as the White Sox fell 7-5. The 27-year-old pitcher was dealt his fifth loss of the season in that game. However, he has pitched well over the last two to three weeks, which leads me to believe he can bounceback against a team he has pitched well against.

White Sox vs Guardians Pick and Prediction

It’s hard to dismiss Giolito’s numbers against the Guardians. More to that, he’s pitched really well at Progressive Field. He’s given up just two earned runs in his last 25 innings pitched in Cleveland with 31 strikeouts.

Chicago is listed at -115 to win the game, but also have the same line in the White Sox vs Guardians odds to win the first five innings at Caesars Sportsbook. Illinois sports bettors should hop on this immediately. The MLB odds are the same across the board for this AL matchup. BetMGM Illinois offers the White Sox at -115 and the Guardians at -105.

Here are some trends I like for this White Sox vs Guardians game:

  • Guardians are 3-8 in their last 11 against right-handed pitchers
  • White Sox are 19-9 in their last 28 road games against right-handed pitchers
  • Guardians are 3-7 in their last 10 against AL Central

I’m going to roll with the White Sox F5 ML and sprinkle on the F5 spread.

Picks: White Sox F5 ML (-115) 1 unit, White Sox F5 -0.5 (+125) 0.5 units at Caesars Sportsbook

Sign-up at Caesars Sportsbook Illinois when you click the banner below and get a $1,500 risk-free bet for the White Sox vs Guardians game. 

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