North Carolina vs Wake Forest Odds, Preview and Prediction

Nov 10- 7 min read
  • Wake Forest hosts North Carolina in an ACC matchup
  • North Carolina are road underdogs in week 11 college football odds
  • Read below for our betting pick in the UNC vs Wake Forest odds

Week 11 of the college football season is here, and we have a big ACC matchup between UNC and Wake Forest on Saturday. The #15 Tar Heels are 8-1 on the season and 4-4-1 against the spread, while Wake Forest has played some good ball at 6-3 and 6-3 ATS. This game is being played at Truist Field at 7:30PM EST and will be broadcasted on ESPN2. We’ll take a look at the North Carolina vs Wake Forest odds to see who has the upper hand.

North Carolina vs Wake Forest Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
#15 North Carolina Tar Heels +150 +3.5 (-110) O 77 (-110)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons -185 -3.5 (-110) U 77 (-110)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook!

North Carolina Outlook

Drake Maye has put on a masterclass for this offense this season and he should be seriously considered in the Heisman conversation. Maye leads this UNC team in passing yards, as well as rushing yards. He has thrown for the 5th most yards, most touchdowns and the third best QBR in the country. Josh Downs is by far his favorite target, and downs has nearly 40 more receptions than the next closest receiver on the team.

The Heels score the 11th most points per game in the country, and average close to 500 yards on offense, and do an awesome job staying on the field on 3rd down, converting at the 15th best rate in the country at nearly 50%. Based on how good Maye has been, you think they’d be a pass heavy team, but that isn’t the case. They throw the ball 51% of the time for 9.5 yards/pass and 334 yards/game. The run game is serviceable, gaining 148 yards/game on the ground.

On the other side of the ball, Storm Duck and Cedric Gray lead a unit that gives up far too many points. They rank outside the top 100 in most defensive categories through the air and on the ground. The reason this total is astronomical is because of the points this team can give up. They give up almost 200 yards per game on the ground. I wont bet on this defense to stop Wake Forest too many times in a row.

Wake Forest Outlook

Sam Hartman was able to recover and play much earlier in the season than expected, and he has this Wake offense in a good spot for the second straight year. Coming off back to back losses to North Carolina State and Louisville, I expect an inspired performance from the Deacons. They score the 16th most points per game, top 25 on third down, and throw the ball for 8.6 yards per pass.

Wake has a much better defense than North Carolina but unfortunately that isn’t saying too much. They rank 83rd in the country in points/game at 29.5 and give up close to 400 yards to the opposition. They beat the run pretty well at only 4.0 yards/rush but are giving up 7.5 yards per pass. When these two teams play, the stats go out the window and points are scored like leaves falling to the ground.

UNC and Wake Forest Prediction

To me this game line doesn’t make much sense, and it feels like a spot that Vegas knows the right side of this and they want the squares to grub on a ranked team at plus money. For that reason, I like Wake Forest to bounce back after two straight losses and cover this number at 3.5. Additionally, I am going to take this over based on principle from their 112 point shootout in 2020 and their 113 point shootout in 2021. This game is one of the most fun games on the slate and should be must watch tv.

Pick: Wake Forest -3.5 (-110) & Over 77 (-110) at DraftKings Sportsbook

0 0 votes
Article Rating
Notify of
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
More from OwnersBox

OwnersBox is an innovative sports-tech company that is looking to disrupt the way consumers play Fantasy Sports.

Mar 22 3 min read

Lightning Lineups

Unlock the OwnersBox Promo Code to Get Bonus Lightning Lineup Entries!

Mar 10 7 min read

BetMGM Massachusetts promo

Get $1,000 First Bet Offer With the BetMGM Massachusetts Promo

Mar 10 7 min read

Massachusetts sports betting promo codes

Top Massachusetts Sports Betting Promo Codes Available For New Players

Mar 10 7 min read

Caesars Sportsbook Massachusetts promo code

Caesars Sportsbook Massachusetts Promo Code: Unlock $1,500 First Bet Offer

Mar 07 6 min read

BetMGM Massachusetts bonus

BetMGM Massachusetts Bonus: Get $200 When You Sign-Up Before Friday

Feb 10 8 min read

2022 Fantasy Football

Best Super Bowl 57 Prop Bets to Lock in for Chiefs vs Eagles

Would love your thoughts, please comment.x

Follow Us

[contact-form-7 404 "Not Found"]

By submitting this form, you are consenting to receive marketing emails from: OwnersBox, 274 Shirley Ave, Kitchener, ON, N2B2E1, You can revoke your consent to receive emails at any time by using the SafeUnsubscribe® link, found at the bottom of every email.