Best Bets For The First Four
I am going to be betting on every single game during March Madness. So feel free to treat this as a place where you can get all of the key information on all 68 teams in the NCAA Tournament. This won’t just be a list of picks, you’ll get the information you need to make your own informed decision.
Results will be posted at the end of each and every day of the tournament. This will be essential on Thursday and Friday when we are overwhelmed with college hoops. Let’s get into Tuesday night and the opening pair of games of the First Four.
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Texas A&M Corpus Christi vs Texas Southern -4 | O/U 135.5
Playing in the First Four is a disservice to these two conference champions. Your reward for making the big dance shouldn’t be having to play an extra game to get in the field of 64. But nevertheless, let’s dive deeper into this matchup.
Starting with the Islanders from Corpus Christi, who had to make a run in the Southland Conference tournament to get here. According to KenPom, this is the worst team in the tournament. Mostly because of their 42.4% field goal percentage that ranks 251st in the country. The offense relies on playing at a fast pace (29th), getting to the free throw line (75% FT) and earning second chance opportunities with offensive rebounds (16th).
Over 23% of the Islanders offense comes from the free throw line and Texas Southern lets teams get there. They allow 20.0 free throw attempts per game which ranks 298th in college basketball.
The Tigers should be able to get to the line plenty as well, the Islanders are even worse in letting teams get to the line. Opponents are getting 22.8 free throw attempts per game, which is bottom 10 in the nation. This could spell trouble when you consider the length advantage Texas Southern has and the fact 56.6% of the Tigers points come from 2-pt range. 6’9 forwards Joirdon Karl Nicholas and John Walker should have their way on Tuesday night.
Wyoming vs Indiana -4 | O/U 132.5
The Hoosiers fought and clawed their way to an NCAA Tournament berth, meanwhile 5 of Wyoming’s 8 losses came in the final month of the season. Is that all the information necessary for you to make a decision on what team to bet? It could be for some.
In what should be a tightly contested game there is one key piece of this game that makes me want to take the underdog Cowboys. Wyoming ranks 299th in offensive average possession length and 251st defensively. They keep games at a slow pace on both sides of the ball, ultimately limiting the total possessions, which is advantageous for the underdog side.
Wyoming’s Hunter Maldonado and Graham Ike going against Trayce Jackson-Davis will be fascinating. It’ll be a strong test for Indiana’s really good interior defense and the Cowboys have the size to match up with the Hoosiers heavy 2-pt attack.
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