Sep 30-
- Michigan and Iowa meet in an early Big 10 matchup
- The #4 Wolverines are favored at DraftKings Sportsbook after an undefeated start to the season
- Read below for our betting pick in the Michigan vs Iowa odds
Two Big 10 foes meet in Week 5 after a combined 7-1 start to the season. The #4 Michigan Wolverines travel to Kinnick Stadium to take on the unranked Iowa Hawkeyes. The game will take place in Iowa City, Iowa on Saturday, October 1st at 12:00 PM EST on Fox. The visiting, Wolverines are 11-point favorites in the Michigan vs Iowa odds.
The Michigan Wolverines come into Week 5 riding a win streak that included a weak non conference schedule of Colorado State, Hawaii and UCONN. The Hawkeyes have struggled putting points on the board, but have had no problems keeping them off. Let’s take a look at the Michigan vs Iowa odds at DratKings Sportsbook and see where we can get some value.
Michigan vs Iowa Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| #4 Michigan Wolverines | -410 | -11 (-110) | Over 42 (-110) |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | +330 | +11 (-110) | Under 42 (-110) |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook!
Iowa sports betting markets have the Hawkeyes listed as home underdogs on Saturday afternoon. Even with a low college football betting total at 42.0 it isn’t the lowest of Iowa’s season. In last week’s game against Rutgers the game total sat at 34.5 and managed to go over the number finishing with 37 total points.
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Michigan and Iowa History
Michigan and Iowa have played each other 62 times dating all the way back to 1900. Michigan holds the advantage in all time games with a record of 43-15-4 and currently hold a 2 game winning streak that included a Big 10 championship game last season, that resulted in a 42-3 Michigan victory.
They haven't been easy, but Iowa has won each of the last 4 games vs. Michigan at Kinnick. 😰#B1Gstats x @HawkeyeFootball pic.twitter.com/cGc5okJhpX
— Big Ten Network (@BigTenNetwork) September 29, 2022
Last 5 Matchup Results
2021 – Michigan 42 Iowa 3
2019 – Michigan 10 Iowa 3
2016 – Michigan 13 Iowa 14
2013 – Michigan 21 Iowa 24
2012 – Michigan 42 Iowa 17
Betting Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan’s last 5 games.
- Michigan are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Iowa.
- Michigan are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa’s last 5 games.
- Iowa are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa’s last 6 games against Michigan.
Michigan Betting Outlook
The Wolverines are the #9 rushing attack in the nation this averaging 243.2 yards per game, as well as the 2nd ranked offense in total scoring in points per game at 50. Averaging 489 yards/game is 14th in the country and are paired with the 9th best completion percentage and the 7th most yards per pass. There really isn’t much that this Michigan offense can’t do, and have every reason to think they can conquer their Kinnick Stadium demons.
Five of the top ten total defenses in college football are from the Big Ten:
1. Minnesota – 187.8 opp YPG
5. Illinois – 234.5 opp YPG
6. Iowa – 236.3 opp YPG
8. Michigan – 244.8 opp YPG
9. Rutgers – 249.5 opp YPGYour dad’s favorite conference.
— Ben Stevens (@BenScottStevens) September 28, 2022
On the defensive side of the ball, the Wolverines have the 6th best scoring defense at 11 points per game, and have the 4th best defense in terms of yards per game at 244. The pass defense is a lot better than their rushing defense, as they allow the least amount of yards/pass but get run on almost 35 times a game. To add on to this, the Wolverines have the second least penalties against them this season at only 2.3 per game leading to 21 yards.
Iowa Betting Outlook
The Iowa offense has stunk out loud to start the season. It seems week after week, their defense is finding a way to score more points than their offense. Their passing offense averages, 138.3 passing yards/game and 6.0 yards per pass. The Hawkeyes are running the ball 56.07% of the time, to the tune of 3.6 yards/rush which is 89th in the country.
The only reason the Iowa Hawkeyes have a pulse this year is their defensive unit. They allow the second least points per game, at 6.7, allow the third least yards/play and average 2.3 takeaways per game. As a home dog with an inspired crowd behind them, it should be interesting to see if they can show up once again.
Michigan vs Iowa Pick & Prediction
(THREAD) Good evening and welcome to this week’s #IowaSim22, the (unofficially) official Iowa football video game simulation, featuring Iowa and Michigan.
We’ve had power flicker a few times (I’m in Florida and there’s a hurricane, if you haven’t heard), so let’s get started. pic.twitter.com/RdyxbjPVE9
— Cody Hills (@ByCodyHills) September 28, 2022
I had a tough time thinking of what I wanted to take in this game before I saw this tweet thread, and then everything changed. The Iowa Hawkeyes are not the sexy pick here, in fact it’s disgusting. But Michigan has struggled at Kinnick, and if JJ McCarthy plays like he did last week, he will keep Iowa in this game.
Pick: Iowa +11 and DraftKings Sportsbook
